Impacts of the 2010 VA PTSD Rule Change on SSA Disability Program Participation
Discussant: Priyanka Anand
Study Design: We use the Annual Social and Economic Supplement (ASEC) of the CPS matched to SSA administrative data for the years 2009-2016. At present, we have preliminary results using just the public-use CPS-ASEC data and are in the process of including matched data that replaces self-reported proxy variables from the CPS-ASEC with administrative data as recorded by SSA. We use a difference-in-differences model with a matched comparison group using propensity score matching (PSM). We restrict the sample to individuals who self-report having cognitive disability and generate a comparison group of non-veterans who resemble the veterans in this subpopulation on observable characteristics. Designating 2009-2010 as the pre-period, we examine the impact of the rule change on SSDI participation, SSI participation, self-reported work disability, and VA DC receipt.
Principal Findings: We find that, following the 2010 PTSD rule change, SSDI participation among veterans fell relative to non-veterans. Before the rule change, veterans were more likely than non-veterans to be SSDI beneficiaries, whereas after the rule change they were less likely. We do not observe a substantial change in SSI receipt following the rule change. Our difference-in-difference estimates are not statistically significant using 2011 as the first post-rule change year. However, our descriptive results show that departures from trend are not seen until 2012. Given the long application and acceptance processes for Social Security benefits programs, it is likely that impacts would take effect with a lag. Indeed, sensitivity analyses using 2012 as the first year of the post period result in statistically significant estimates of the impact of the rule change on SSDI receipt. We also find that the rule change increased self-reported VA DC receipt and decreased self-reported work disability. The decrease in work disability could be related to the fact that DC benefits are not contingent on ongoing inability to work.
Conclusions: Our results indicate that VA DC and SSDI are substitute sources of income for veterans with disabilities, and that increased access to DC benefits for veterans with cognitive disability can not only reduce reliance on Social Security benefits programs, but can also reduce self-reported work disability.